Sunday, August 10, 2008

What is the Better for the Palestinians future??

What a question is that. It is actually the most important question that every Palestinian asks, no matter who is the responsible for answering such a question and yet no one can even give a hint about the possible answer. Let’s try to answer the question. It might be useful to use the trail and error method or let’s say the assumptions point of view. The first assumption will be: Hamas destroyed or forced to leave the scene or even agrees peacefully to leave the government for Fatah and Abbas. Will that solve the problem and bring good life to the Palestinian? Let’s take the West Bank senario as an example. Hamas has nothing in West Bank interns of authority and power. However, people there still suffer of many many things that are not related to Hamas at all. Israeli daily incursions, arresting, building occupying, hundreds of road blocks and searching, and many bad things including of course settlements and settlers and the Wall. Fatah and Abbas have the full control and power and even have very good relationship with Israeli leaders. Abbas meets Olmert almost every 2 or maximum 3 weeks. They talk and have launch or dinner together. However, no progress in their negotiations and no change at all take place on Palestinians life in West Bank. So, base on this example, if Fatah regain what it loses in Gaza, the same scenario may occur and then what is the difference and why should we say the answer is Hamas should leave the scene for the good of the Palestinians future. The second assumption will be Fatah leaves the scene in the West Bank for Hamas. Base on the current scenario of Gaza that suffers the siege and the very deteriorated life and economy because of Hamas presence (according to Israel, USA, and Quartet), we expect that West Bank may face the same, taking in account that Israel will never allow this to happen and in that case Israel may took over the civilian administration of the West Bank as well as the military administration (which is already taken by Israeli army). So the conclusion will be there is no comfortable or brightening scenario that may result from full control of Hamas alone or Fatah alone. This takes us to the third assumption, which is very optimistic, united leadership from both Hamas and Fatah rules and take place. We have also experience such a thing during the eleventh government, which were established according to Mecca agreement few months before Hamas took over Gaza. In that time, Hamas and Fatah were both in the same ship but again the major players Israel and USA and Quartet found it less than enough to end up the siege and support the Palestinians the same way they used to do before Hamas entering the scene. However, in all meanings, the Palestinians were feeling a bit comfortable despite the bad life they live under the siege because of the unity of both big parties. So, back to our million dollar question, the third assumption might be the suitable answer even if it doesn’t mean that Palestinians would have the life that they always dream of without occupation or Israeli touch.

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